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Aug 25, 24 LBLF | #245 | Tumbleweed Tik Tok

Looking Backwards … LB #1 We have been waiting for confirmation that this tight financial cycle is over, and we have now received it loud and clear.  In September, assumably, the Fed will start easing interest rates.  Powell came out and announced it is time to change path.  We have long called Jerome our Jedi, …

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Aug 21, 2024 BR |#244 | Not another Chinatown

Today I want to talk about one of the greatest films of all time, Chinatown.  It stars Jack Nicholson as J. J. Gettes, a a private investigator, and Faye Dunaway, an eccentric beauty, and John Houston is the incomparably evil Noah Cross, Chinatown was incredible and yes you should watch it and listen to it, …

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Aug 18, 24 LBLF | #243 | Kamala’s plan

Looking Backwards … LB #1 “The Democrats have been instituting a propaganda campaign to hide or deny the effects of inflation ever since Joe Biden took office in 2021.  At first, they claimed there was no inflation threat.  Then they claimed inflation was “transitory.”  When the CPI hit 40 year highs they were forced to …

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Aug 14, 2024 BR |#242 | Ted Williams and Narratives

Here are some data from Ryan Spaeder on Twitter.  Ted Williams seasons from 1941 to 1947. 1941- batted .406 1942-Triple Crown 1943- WWII 1944- WWII 1945-WWII 1946- MVP 1947- Triple Crown Now the best thing about this is that Ted won only one MVP in this time period.  In 1941, he was hated by the …

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Aug 11, 24 LBLF | #241 | The Japanese U-turn

Looking Backwards … LB #1 So this last week has been a doozy.  Last week the Japanese government tried raising interest rates into their economy that is in a recession.  I told you that we tried a similar thing and it led to the great depression.  Well the stock market in Japan dropped about 20% …

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Aug 7, 2024 BR |#240 | Well, that was that

Some days are turn over and go back to sleep days and this Monday was not one of them.  The Japanese stock market was already reeling as we pointed out last week, but Monday saw the Nikkei average decline over 12%.  The world quickly joined them.  Ether was down 26%, Nvidia was down over 15%, …

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Aug 4, 24 LBLF | #239 | The ostrich just raised his head

Looking Backwards … LB #1 This last week was dramatic as we have seen earnings reports, jobs reports, and even the Fed rate decision on Wednesday which seems a month ago despite only being three days ago.  We go to Nick Timiraos and Paul Kiernan writing for the Wall Street Journal “The script is being …

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July 31, 2024 BR |#238 | If you build it

This week is going to be an eventful week of earnings, Fed talk, jobs reports and can likely set the stage for lots of volatility for the next few weeks which leaves me just enough time to discuss a topic that I have wanted to for a couple months now, but something more timely seemed …

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July 28, 24 LBLF | #237 | America can’t compete

Looking Backwards … LB #1 Competition is a good thing, it brings out the best in us, but what happens if the best isn’t in us anymore.  What if others are simply much much better.  That is the predicament American businesses are finding themselves in as we are trying to onshore manufacturing led by Joe …

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July 24, 2024 BR |#236 | There is something in the air

“Everything you say should be true, but not everything true should be said.” Voltaire In the span of two weekends the political election of 2024 has carved itself into the record book.  We have an assassination attempt on Trump and then the next weekend, Biden bows out of the race with a letter while having …

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